U.S. Hours per Working Age Person

Below, Corrections takes an estimate of the total hours worked by the non-institutional population and divides it by the U.S. population between 16 and 64 (click to enlarge).

Disability Insurance over Time

Below, Corrections depicts the number of people accruing disability benefits as well as the number of disabled over time (wives and children can also collect benefits) (click to enlarge) along with benefits (click to enlarge):

 We can normalize the count by looking at disability benefit counts divided by population (click to enlarge) and real benefit amounts (click to enlarge).

 Finally, we plot them all, normalized to January 2000 (click to enlarge).

AFDC/TANF Benefits over Time

Below, Corrections depicts the number of beneficiaries for Aid to Families with Dependent Children (AFDC) and its successor program, Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF) (click to enlarge).  AFDC was synonymous with cash-benefit welfare before 1996, when the Personal Responsibility and Work Opportunity Reconciliation Act (PRWORA), part of the Contract with America, was signed into law by Bill Clinton. Around 1994 (denoted by the first red line) states began to request and were granted waivers to tighten welfare restrictiveness, in part due to the rapid rise of welfare beneficiaries in the early 1990's.

 By 1996, while rolls were falling due to new state actions, the PRWORA largely killed the welfare program by instituting five-year lifetime limits, and giving block grants to states, giving them incentives to find efficient uses for the money.  These grants have largely not increased over time, and are slowly being whittled away by inflation.

Working Full-Time, Part-Time, and Either in 2012

Below, Corrections depicts the proportion of the population working full-time, part-time, or either in 2012 according to the Current Population Survey (click to enlarge).

Employment Patterns in Twelve Recessions

Below, Corrections displays the employment patterns from twelve U.S. recessions.  The first lines up NBER peaks:  these may or may not be employment peaks (click to enlarge).  The second lines up employment troughs (click to enlarge).  The two are the same data (though the percentages vary because baseline comparison levels vary).

Business Employment Dynamics: Where Jobs Losses and Gains Come From

Below, Corrections graphically depicts transformed Business Employment Dynamics data.  The two data series are the proportion of gross job losses generated by closing establishments, rather than contracting establishments (click to enlarge).  Similarly for gross job gains generated by opening establishments, rather than expanding establishments.

Three things seem to jump out of the figure:

• Generally, around 20% of gross job gains and losses come from opening and closing establishments.
• Compared to the proportion of gross job losses that come from closings, generally a higher proportion of gross job gains come from openings.
• There has been a secular downward trend in the impact of closings and openings on employment.

The last point is probably bad news for the U.S. economy.

Unemployment Flows from Labor Force

Below, Corrections displays the four places the unemployed go, from month to month (click to enlarge). They either find employment, stay unemployed, leave the labor force, or "other" (a very, very tiny category that would include dying, or immigrating, for instance).

Labor Market Transitions

From Chapter 4 of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis's Annual Report for the Year 2010: average worker flows from 1996-2003.  This figure displays the (average) millions of worker flows per month (mpm) from 1996-2003 (click to enlarge).  Remarkable.